Application of Artificial Neural Networks for River Stage Forecasting in Hatyai
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Abstract
Hatyai is located in Klong U-taphao catchment area, Songkhla Province. The city is surrounded by highmountains. Previously it faced with flash floods due to very heavy rainfall in the area. In order to relief loss oflife and properties, it is necessary to install a flood forecasting and warning system, which can predict the floodwater level in advance.
Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) are sort of mathematical models, which are used to carry outcognitive tasks performed naturally by the brain. ANNs can be trained from historical data to forecast theincoming events. In this study, a neural network with back-propagation algorithm is applied for river stageforecasting at Klong U-tapao station (X.44) of RID in Hatyai City. The accuracy of the result of river stageforecasting is evaluated by using statistical performance indices. It is found that the model yields satisfactoryresults.