Study of Preliminary Estimation of Coronavirus Reproduction Number at the Early Stage of Outbreak

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Suchada Sitjongsataporn
Sethakarn Prongnuch


This paper presents the basic concept of coronavirus reproduction number concerning the definition and an important of basic reproduction number and reproduction number. This leads to the knowledge of contagious disease level related to coronavirus disease and lifted lockdown in Thailand. Mathematical equations of preliminary estimation of virus reproduction number at the early stage of outbreak are associated with the contagious virus disease in comparison with the reported laboratory-confirmed cases of coronavirus infections and being lifted lockdown in Thailand. Simulation results show that the preliminary estimation of coronavirus reproduction number is related to the lifted lockdown regarded as the dangerous of coronavirus pandemic in this recent.

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