Effect of Distance and Radionuclide Activity on Radiation Dose Exposure around the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant (ChNPP): Analysis with Poisson Regression Models and Correlation Tests
Main Article Content
Abstract
Researchers studied radiation exposure around the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant (ChNPP) after the accident, focusing on factors like distance from radiation sources and radionuclide activity. The analysis aimed to improve radiation exposure prediction models for mitigation and public health. Pearson correlation examined the relationship between exposure dose and distance, while Poisson regression identified significant factors, such as Zr-95 and Cs-134 activity. The model’s validity was confirmed through overdispersion and variance inflation factor (VIF) tests, and residuals analysis assessed bias. Results showed radiation exposure decreased with distance, with a moderate negative correlation. Radionuclide activity significantly affected radiation levels, and a perfect correlation was found between exposure dose and absorbed dose. Poisson regression highlighted distance and radionuclide activity as key factors. This study fills a gap in understanding the complex relationship between distance, radionuclide activity, and radiation exposure around ChNPP. The novelty lies in applying Poisson regression with specific isotopes, providing a more accurate model to predict radiation exposure around nuclear facilities.
Article Details

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
References
Sarkisov AA, Vysotskii VL. The largest nuclear accident in the history of the nuclear fleet. Reconstruction of events and analysis of the accident consequences to assess the risks and hazards of small nuclear power facilities. Nuclear Engineering and Design. 2021;384:111440.
Michelot L. Chernobyl: The Path to Healing Human and Ecological Scars. In: Sustainability Stories: The Power of Narratives to Understand Global Challenges. Springer; 2024. p. 297–305.
Iqbal J, Howari FM, Mohamed AMO, Paleologos EK. Assessment of radiation pollution from nuclear power plants. In: Pollution Assessment for Sustainable Practices in Applied Sciences and Engineering. Elsevier; 2021. p. 1027–53.
Masson O, Romanenko O, Saunier O, Kirieiev S, Protsak V, Laptev G, et al. Europe-wide atmospheric radionuclide dispersion by unprecedented wildfires in the Chernobyl exclusion zone, April 2020. Environmental Science & Technology. 2021;55(20):13834–48.
Hyvärinen T. Lower extremity dose dependency on chest dose, distance from patient, and imaging settings in cardiology and radiology staff. 2023.
Akinyoola JA, Oluleye A, Gbode IE. A Review of Atmospheric Aerosol Impacts on Regional Extreme Weather and Climate Events. Aerosol Science and Engineering. 2024;8(3):249–74.
Corbacho JÁ, Guillén J. Long-term radiological assessment of a Mediterranean freshwater ecosystem surrounding a nuclear power plant. Environmental Science and Pollution Research. 2024;1–15.
Tapio S, Little MP, Kaiser JC, Impens N, Hamada N, Georgakilas AG, et al. Ionizing radiation-induced circulatory and metabolic diseases. Environment international. 2021;146:106235.
Okhrimchuk D, Hurtevent P, Gonze MA, Simon-Cornu M, Roulier M, Carasco L, et al. Long-term behaviour of Cs-137, Cs-133 and K in beech trees of French forests. Journal of Environmental Radioactivity. 2024;277:107450.
Yang H, Feng Q, Xu W, Tang Y, Bai G, Liu Y, et al. Unraveling the nuclear isotope tapestry: Applications, challenges, and future horizons in a dynamic landscape. Eco-Environment & Health. 2024.
Ludovici GM, Chierici A, de Souza SO, d’Errico F, Iannotti A, Malizia A. Effects of ionizing radiation on flora ten years after the Fukushima Dai-ichi disaster. Plants. 2022;11(2):222.
Mothersill C, Rusin A, Elliott A, Seymour C. Radiation and chemical induced genomic instability as a driver for environmental evolution. In: Genome Stability. Elsevier; 2021. p. 639–58.
West A, Tsitsimpelis I, Licata M, Jazbec A, Snoj L, Joyce MJ, et al. Use of Gaussian process regression for radiation mapping of a nuclear reactor with a mobile robot. Scientific reports. 2021;11(1):13975.
Li CY, Xia XB, Cai J, Zhang ZH, Zhang GQ, Wang JH, et al. Radiation dose distribution of liquid fueled thorium molten salt reactor. Nuclear Science and Techniques. 2021;32(2):22.
Cao P, Hao C, Ma C, Yang H, Sun R. Physical field simulation of the ultrasonic radiation method: An investigation of the vessel, probe position and power. Ultrasonics Sonochemistry. 2021;76:105626.
Boice JD, Cohen SS, Mumma MT, Hagemeyer DA, Chen H, Golden AP, et al. Mortality from leukemia, cancer and heart disease among US nuclear power plant workers, 1957–2011. In: The Million Person Study of Low-Dose Radiation Health Effects. CRC Press; 2024. p. 141–62.
Ohba T, Tanigawa K, Liutsko L. Evacuation after a nuclear accident: Critical reviews of past nuclear accidents and proposal for future planning. Environment international. 2021;148:106379.
Kronthaler F, Zöllner S. Data analysis with RStudio. Data Analysis with RStudio. 2021.
Labunska I, Levchuk S, Kashparov V, Holiaka D, Yoschenko L, Santillo D, et al. Current radiological situation in areas of Ukraine contaminated by the Chornobyl accident: Part 2. Strontium-90 transfer to culinary grains and forest woods from soils of Ivankiv district. Environment International. 2021;146:106282.
Ahmed RS. A review on soil radionuclide distribution in Iraq analysed using gamma ray spectroscopy. Environmental Forensics. 2021;22(1–2):91–8.
Zhu L. Radiochemical analysis of hard-to-measure radionuclides (135Cs and 126Sn) for decommissioning and environmental tracer studies. 2021.
Qin H, Gong R, Liu X, Shen M, Wei Z, Yu F, et al. Forward and backward information retention for accurate binary neural networks. In 2020. p. 2250–9.
Gonoskov A, Blackburn T, Marklund M, Bulanov S. Charged particle motion and radiation in strong electromagnetic fields. Reviews of Modern Physics. 2022;94(4):045001.
Karmaker N, Maraz KM, Islam F, Haque MM, Razzak M, Mollah M, et al. Fundamental characteristics and application of radiation. GSC Advanced Research and Reviews. 2021;7(1):064–72.
Kao S. A robust standard deviation control chart based on square A estimator. Quality and Reliability Engineering International. 2022;38(5):2715–30.
Lee SW. Regression analysis for continuous independent variables in medical research: statistical standard and guideline of Life Cycle Committee. Life cycle. 2022;2.
Takahashi H, Yasumura S, Takahashi K, Ohira T, Shimura H, Ohto H, et al. Detection of thyroid cancer among children and adolescents in Fukushima, Japan: a population-based cohort study of the Fukushima Health Management Survey. EClinicalMedicine. 2024;75.
Braga A da S, Cordeiro GM, Ortega EM, Silva GO, Vasconcelos JC. A randomeffects regression model based on the odd log-logistic skew normal distribution. Journal of Statistical Theory and Practice. 2022;16(2):33.
Alhassan S, Usman A. Fit A Poisson Regression, Negative Binomial Regression And Poisson Log-Normal Regression Models: An Application To Road Accident Data In North Central Nigeria. International Journal of Modeling and Applied Science Research. 2024;
Di Mari R, Ingrassia S, Punzo A. Local and overall deviance r-squared measures for mixtures of generalized linear models. Journal of Classification. 2023;40(2):233–66.
Lecca P, Carpentieri B. Regression. In: Introduction to Mathematics for Computational Biology. Springer; 2023. p. 197–232.
Kalnins A, Praitis Hill K. Additional caution regarding rules of thumb for variance inflation factors: extending O’Brien to the context of specification error. Quality & Quantity. 2024;1–24.
Gokmen S, Dagalp R, Kilickaplan S. Multicollinearity in measurement error models. Communications in Statistics-Theory and Methods. 2022;51(2):474–85.
Ebrahim EA, Cengiz MA, Terzi E. The Best Fit Bayesian Hierarchical Generalized Linear Model Selection Using Information Complexity Criteria in the MCMC Approach. Journal of Mathematics. 2024;2024(1):1459524.
Ramos B, Menéndez T, Nolivos I. Statistical modeling of the climatic influence on a 5 GHz microwave link: A tropical weather case empirical study. IEEE Access. 2024
Ailobhio D, Ikughur J. A Review of Some Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Logistic Regression Model.
KANG YT, Him NC. The Poisson Regression and Quasi-Poisson Regression Analysis on FIFA World Cup Games. Enhanced Knowledge in Sciences and Technology. 2024;4(2):349–58.
Gewers FL, Ferreira GR, Arruda HFD, Silva FN, Comin CH, Amancio DR, et al. Principal component analysis: A natural approach to data exploration. ACM Computing Surveys (CSUR). 2021;54(4):1–34.
Picci G. Principal Component Analysis. In: An Introduction to Statistical Data Science: Theory and Models. Springer; 2024. p. 273–305.
Saha S. Prevention of Empty Clusters and Incomplete Data Problems using Modified K-Means and Gaussian Mixture Model. 2023.
Nigro L, Cicirelli F. Improving Clustering Accuracy of K-Means and Random Swap by an Evolutionary Technique Based on Careful Seeding. Algorithms. 2023;16(12):572.