Simple Technique For Forecasting With Small Dataset Based On Minimum Absolute Difference: Thai Gold Jewelry Price

Authors

  • Mathee Pongkitwitoon
  • Watcharin Klongdee

Keywords:

Forecasting, Minimum Absolute Difference, Small Dataset, Thai Gold Jewelry Price

Abstract

This article focuses on a simple statistical method which is easy to compute and understand, low
computational cost for forecasting model fitting and suitable for a small dataset. The minimum
absolute difference is used to deal with the data preprocessing stage for the monthly Thai gold jewelry
price prediction by using three-period simple moving average forecasting model. The results indicate
that the approach method is better than the traditional method in addition to having a lower
computational cost.

Author Biographies

Mathee Pongkitwitoon

Deprtment of Statistics, Faculty of Science Khon Kaen University

Watcharin Klongdee

Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science Khon Kaen University

References

[1] George E. P. Box, Gwilym M. Jenkins and Gregory C. Reinsel. Time series analysis:
forecasting and control. John Wiley & Sons, Inc.; 2008.


[2] Abdol S. Soofi and Liangyue Cao. Modeling and forecasting financial data: techniques of
nonlinear dynamics. New York, USA: Springer Science+Business Media; 2002.


[3] Jon Danielsson. Financial risk forecasting. UK. John Wiley&Sons Ltd.; 2011.


[4] A. Johnson and Gouri K. Bhattacharyya. Statistics: principles and methods. 6th ed. USA: John
Wiley & Sons, Inc.; 2010.


[5] Ian T. Jolliffe and David B. Stephenson. Forecast verification: a pratitioner’s guide in
atmospheric science. UK. John Wiley&Sons Ltd.; 2003.

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Published

2018-06-30

How to Cite

Pongkitwitoon, M., & Klongdee, W. (2018). Simple Technique For Forecasting With Small Dataset Based On Minimum Absolute Difference: Thai Gold Jewelry Price. Journal of Applied Statistics and Information Technology, 2(2), 36–40. Retrieved from https://ph02.tci-thaijo.org/index.php/asit-journal/article/view/165722