Non-mixture Cure Fraction Model in the Presence of Right Censored Survival Data and Covariates Based on Nadarajah-Haghighi Distribution with Applications to Medical Data

Authors

  • Yakubu Aliyu Department of Mathematics, Usmanu Danfodiyo University, Sokoto, Nigeria
  • Umar Usman Department of Mathematics, Usmanu Danfodiyo University, Sokoto, Nigeria

Keywords:

Nadarajah-Haghighi distribution, long-term non-mixture model, censoring and Colorectal cancer

Abstract

In survival analysis it is assumed that every individual in the study population will eventually experience the event of interest if followed-up for a long period of time. However, there are some occasions in which a proportion of the population will never experience the event of interest. Hence, cure fraction models are used in modelling such type of data. The present paper introduces the Nadarajah-Haghighi distribution in the presence of cure fraction, right censored data and covariates. Comprehensive statistical properties of the model were explored. Inferences for the proposed model were obtained under the maximum likelihood and Bayesian approaches. Simulation study was provided in order to ascertain the performance of the maximum likelihood estimates. Illustrations of the proposed methodology were made by considering medical data sets using maximum likelihood and Bayesian methods. Results of the applications showed that the proposed methodology is a good competitor.

References

Achcar JA, Coelho-Barros EA, Mazucheli J. Cure fraction models using mixture and non-mixture models. Tatra Mt Math Publ. 2012; 51(1): 1-9.

Berkson J, Gage RP. Survival curve for cancer patients following treatment. J Am Stat Assoc. 1952; 47(259): 501-515.

Boag JW. Maximum likelihood estimates of the proportion of patients cured by cancer therapy. J Roy Stat Soc B Met. 1949; 11(1): 15-53.

Chen M, Ibrahim JG, Sinha D. A new Bayesian model for survival data with a surviving fraction. J Am Stat Assoc. 1999; 94(447): 909-919.

Coelho-Barros EA, Achcar JA, Mazucheli J. Cure Rate Models Considering The Burr XII Distribution in Presence of Covariate. 0.0 J Stat Theory App. 2017; 16(2): 150-164.

Corbiere F, Commenges D, Taylor JMG, Joly P. A penalized likelihood approach for mixture cure `models. Stat Med. 2009; 28(3): 510-524.

Farewell VT. Mixture models in survival analysis: Are they worth the risk?. Can J Stat. 1986; 14(3): 257-262.

Ferlay J, Colombet M, Soerjomataram I, Mathers C, Parkin DM, Pineros M, Znaor A, Bray F. Estimating the global cancer incidence and mortality in 2018: GLOBOCAN sources and methods. Int J Cancer. 2019; 144(8): 1941-1953.

Gamel JW, McLean IW, Rosenberg SH. Proportion cured and mean log survival time as functions of tumour size. Stat Med. 1990; 9(8): 999-1006.

Ghazali AK. Modelling of survival and incidence for colorectal cancer in Malaysia. PhD [dissertation]. Lancaster University; 2018.

Hassan MRA, Suan MAM, Soelar SA, Mohammed NS, Ismail I, Ahmad F. Survival analysis and prognostic factors for colorectal cancer patients in Malaysia. Asian Pac J Cancer Prev. 2016; 17(7): 3575-3581.

Herring AH, Ibrahim JG. Maximum likelihood estimation in random effects cure rate models with nonignorable missing covariates. Biostatistics. 2002; 3(3): 387-405.

Huster WJ, Brookmeyer R, Self SG. Modelling paired survival data with covariates. Biometrics. 1989; 45(1): 145-156.

Ibrahim JG, Chen M, Sinha D. Bayesian semiparametric models for survival data with a cure fraction. Biometrics. 2001; 57(2): 383-388.

Jacome AAA, Wohnrath DR, Neto CS, Fregnani JHTG, Quinto AL, Oliveira A TT, Vazquez VL, Fava ´G, Martinez EZ, Santos JS. Effect of adjuvant chemoradiotherapy on overall survival of gastric cancer patients submitted to D2 lymphadenectomy. Gastric Cancer. 2013; 16(2): 233-238.

Kannan N, Kundu D, Nair P, Tripathi RC. The generalized exponential cure rate model with covariates. J Appl Stat. 2010; 37(10): 1625-1636.

Kittrongsiri K, Wanitsuwan W, Prechawittayakul P, Sangroongruangsri S, Cairns J, Chaikledkaew U. Survival analysis of colorectal cancer patients in a Thai hospital-based cancer registry. Expert Rev Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2020; 14(4): 291-300.

Kutal D, Qian L. A Non-Mixture Cure Model for right-censored data with Frechet distribution. ´Stats. 2018; 1(1): 176-188.

Liu H, Shen Y. A semiparametric regression cure model for interval-censored data. J Am Stat Assoc. 2009; 104(487): 1168-1178.

Lopes CMC, Bolfarine H. Random effects in promotion time cure rate models. Comput Stat Data An. 2012; 56(1): 75-87.

Magaji BA, Moy FM, Roslani AC, Law CW. Descriptive epidemiology of colorectal cancer in University Malaya Medical Centre, 2001 to 2010. Asian Pac J Cancer Prev. 2014; 15(15): 6059-6064.

Magaji BA, Moy FM, Roslani AC, Law CW. Survival rates and predictors of survival among colorectal cancer patients in a Malaysian tertiary hospital. BMC Cancer. 2017; 17(1): 1-8.

Martinez EZ, Achcar JA, Jacome AAA, Santos J. Mixture and non-mixture cure fraction models ´based on the generalized modified Weibull distribution with an application to gastric cancer data. Comput Meth Prog Bio. 2013; 112(3): 343-355.

Mazucheli J, Coelho-Barros EA, Achcar JA. The exponentiated exponential mixture and non-mixture cure rate model in the presence of covariates. Comput Meth Prog Bio. 2013; 112(1): 114-124.

Meeker WQ. Limited failure population life tests: application to integrated circuit reliability. Technometrics. 1987; 29(1): 51-65.

Nadarajah S, Haghighi F. An extension of the exponential distribution. Statistics. 2011; 45(6): 543-558.

Naishadham D, Lansdorp-Vogelaar I, Siegel R, Cokkinides V, Jemal A. State disparities in colorectal

cancer mortality patterns in the United States. Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev. 2011; 20(7): 1296-1302.

Ng SK, McLachlan GJ. On modifications to the long-term survival mixture model in the presence of competing risks. J Stat Comput Sim. 1998; 61(1-2): 77-96.

Peng Y, Dear KBG, Denham JW. A generalized F mixture model for cure rate estimation. Stat Med. 1998; 17(8): 813-830.

Sadighi S, Raafat J, Mohagheghi MA, Meemary F. Gastric carcinoma: 5 year experience of a single institute. Asian Pac J Cancer Prev. 2005; 6(2): 195-196.

Shao Q, Zhou X. A new parametric model for survival data with long-term survivors. Stat Med. 2004; 23(22): 3525-3543.

Sy JP, Taylor JMG. Estimation in a Cox proportional hazards cure model. Biometrics. 2000; 56(1): 227-236.

Talebi A, Mohammadnejad A, Akbari A, Pourhoseingholi MA, Doosti H, Moghimi-Dehkordi B, Agah S, Bahardoust M. Survival analysis in gastric cancer: a multi-center study among Iranian patients. BMC Surg. 2020; 20(1): 1-8.

Tsodikov AD, Ibrahim JG, Yakovlev AY. Estimating cure rates from survival data: an alternative to two-component mixture models. J Am Stat Assoc. 2003; 98(464): 1063-1078.

Uddin MT, Islam MN, Ibrahim QIU. An Analytical approach on cure rate estimation based on uncensored data. J Appl Sci. 2006; 6(3): 548-552.

Uddin MT, Sen A, Noor MS, Islam MN, Chowdhury ZI. An analytical approach on non-parametric estimation of cure rate based on uncensored data. J Appl Sci. 2006; 6(6): 1258-1264.

Usman U, Suleiman S, Arkilla BM, Aliyu Y. Nadarajah-Haghighi Model for Survival Data With Long Term Survivors in the Presence of Right Censored Data. Pakistan J Stat Oper Res. 2021; 17(3): 695-709.

Yakovlev AY, Asselain B, Bardou VJ, Fourquet A, Hoang T, Rochefediere A, Tsodikov AD. A simple stochastic model of tumor recurrence and its application to data on premenopausal breast cancer. Biometrie et analyse de donnees spatio-temporelles. 1993; 12: 66-82.

Yakovlev AY, Tsodikov AD, Asselain B. Stochastic models of tumor latency and their biostatistical applications. Singapore: World Scientific; 1996.

Zare A, Mahmoodi M, Mohammad K, Zeraati H, Hosseini M, Naieni KH. Survival analysis of patients with gastric cancer undergoing surgery at the iran cancer institute: a method based on multi-state models. Asian Pac J Cancer Prev. 2013; 14(11): 6369-6373.

Downloads

Published

2024-12-25

How to Cite

Aliyu, Y. ., & Usman, U. . (2024). Non-mixture Cure Fraction Model in the Presence of Right Censored Survival Data and Covariates Based on Nadarajah-Haghighi Distribution with Applications to Medical Data. Thailand Statistician, 23(1), 41–63. Retrieved from https://ph02.tci-thaijo.org/index.php/thaistat/article/view/257213

Issue

Section

Articles