Hybrid Emotion and Satisfaction-Aware Fuzzy Inference System (ES-FIS) for Predicting Tourist Revisit Intention
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Abstract
Tourist revisit intention is influenced by both cognitive evaluations and emotional experiences; however, existing models typically treat these factors independently and rely on precise numerical inputs that may not reflect the subjective nature of travel perception. This study develops a Hybrid Emotion–Satisfaction Fuzzy Inference System (ES-FIS) designed to model such ambiguity while maintaining interpretability through linguistic rules. The model integrates six structured satisfaction dimensions from 415 Thai visitors to Japan with affective polarity extracted from 20,491 TripAdvisor reviews via a probabilistic mapping approach. All variables were transformed into fuzzy linguistic terms and processed using a Mamdani-type inference engine to generate both a continuous revisit score and categorical outputs. Empirical evaluation indicates that the ES-FIS achieves strong predictive performance (Accuracy: 0.78, F1-score: 0.74) with results aligned with ground-truth Likert ratings (r = 0.71; RMSE = 0.48). Furthermore, PCA-based clustering reveals three distinct cognitive–affective traveler segments. These findings suggest that combining satisfaction and emotional indicators provides a more comprehensive representation of revisit intention than relying on either component alone. The study contributes to an explainable AI (XAI) framework that captures the inherent imprecision of tourist perception and offers practical value for service personalization and CRM-oriented segmentation in tourism analytics.
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